Football / 2026
Matchup Outlook
Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field · Starkville, MS
An early look at this matchup using results available through Nov 10. Season statistics and the experimental forecast can change before kickoff.
The statistical edge
By the metrics
Two teams. Every edge. Per-game averages.
Total offenseyards / game
Points scoredpoints / game
Passing offenseyards / game
Rushing offenseyards / game
Total defenseyards allowed / game
Points allowedpoints allowed / game
Passing yards allowedyards allowed / game
Rushing yards allowedyards allowed / game
Longer segment = stronger stat. Center tick = even. These are statistical edges, not win odds. FBS ranks are statistical rankings, not poll positions.
SEC: 16 teams · FBS: 138 teams. Ranks calculated from ESPN season averages as of Nov 10. T# indicates a tie. Tennessee Tech competes in FCS and is not ranked in SEC or FBS.
SVR matchup forecast
A clearer picture is coming
A win estimate is not available for this matchup yet. This first model uses comparable FBS production data; we do not substitute FBS grades for an FCS team.
About these numbers
Statistics checked 2026-11-10. Season-to-date outlook through Nov 10, 2026; not a live feed. MSU: 9 games · Tennessee Tech: 10 games. Player totals and team averages are shown separately. Rankings appear only where sourced, with tied ranks retained.
Mississippi State season statistics · ESPN
Tennessee Tech season statistics · ESPN
Mississippi State official statistics · defensive leaders reconciled with completed game boxes
Mississippi State’s schedule is shared with the Football page. The metric comparison bars show statistical edges, not win probabilities. The separate SVR forecast uses completed ESPN game results and season production. Its schedule grades evaluate opponents independently of their game against the team being graded. Unplayed games are excluded, and small samples are treated conservatively.